Stockwatch

Lump sum or SIP — which ends ahead?

The same total amount invested all at once against the same amount spread monthly, at the same assumed rate.

Lump sum ends ahead, at
₹37,27,018
Gain of ₹14,03,627.
Total put in, either way
₹12,00,000
All at once, on day one
₹37,27,018
Spread over 10 years (₹10,000 a month)
₹23,23,391
Difference
₹14,03,627

Year by year

YearInvested so far (SIP) SIP value
1 ₹1,20,000 ₹1,28,093
2 ₹2,40,000 ₹2,72,432
3 ₹3,60,000 ₹4,35,076
4 ₹4,80,000 ₹6,18,348
5 ₹6,00,000 ₹8,24,864
6 ₹7,20,000 ₹10,57,570
7 ₹8,40,000 ₹13,19,790
8 ₹9,60,000 ₹16,15,266
9 ₹10,80,000 ₹19,48,215
10 ₹12,00,000 ₹23,23,391

Why the lump sum usually wins on paper

At a steady positive rate, money invested earlier compounds for longer. The whole lump sum is working from day one, while a SIP's last instalment has been invested for one month. With a constant rate the lump sum wins almost every time, and by a wide margin over long periods.

Why that is not the whole answer

The comparison assumes a rate that never varies. In a market that falls after you invest, the lump sum takes the fall on the entire amount while the SIP keeps buying at lower prices. The SIP is not a better investment so much as a different bet: it trades some expected return for a much narrower range of outcomes, and for money you would otherwise not have invested at all, it is the one that actually happens.

A practical note

Most people do not have the choice. A SIP is what regular income allows; a lump sum is what a bonus or a sale produces. The useful question is usually not which is better but what to do with the money you actually have.

What actually happened, instead of an assumption

Every figure above rests on a rate you chose. These pages use the prices that really occurred.

Not investment advice — read the disclaimer.